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which lottery payout scheme is better

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Reference ID: #b551c470-550e-11eb-9fad-4978ca23af58

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Which lottery payout scheme is better? Suppose you win a small lottery and have the choice of two ways to be paid: You can accept the money in a lump sum or in a series of payments over time. If you pick the lump sum, you get $2,850 today. If you pick payments over time, you get three payments: $1,000 today, $1,000 1 year from today, and $1,000 2 years from today. At an interest rate of 9% per year, the winner would be better off accepting the , since that choice has the greater present value. At an interest rate of 11% per year, the winner would be better off accepting , since it has the greater present value. Years after you win the lottery, a friend in another country calls to ask your advice. By wild coincidence, she has just won another lottery with the same payout schemes. She must make a quick decision about whether to collect her money under the lump sum or the payments over time. What is the best advice to give your friend?

Present value (PV) of payments ($) = 1000 + [1000 \/ 1.06] + [1000 \/ (1.06)2] = 1000 + 943 + 890 = 2833

So, winner is better of accepting Payments over time since it has higher PV.

Present value (PV) of payments ($) = 1000 + [1000 \/ 1.09] + [1000 \/ (1.09)2] = 1000 + 917 + 842 = 2759

So, winner is better of accepting Lumpsum since it has higher PV.

Present value of future payments depend on interest rate and so cannot be advised one-off

Present value (PV) of payments ($) = 1000 + [1000 / 1.06] + [1000 / (1.06)2] = 1000 + 943 + 890 = 2833

So, winner is better of accepting Payments over time since it has higher PV.

Present value (PV) of payments ($) = 1000 + [1000 / 1.09] + [1000 / (1.09)2] = 1000 + 917 + 842 = 2759

So, winner is better of accepting Lumpsum since it has higher PV.

Present value of future payments depend on interest rate and so cannot be advised one-off

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