Predict lotto numbers using excel
I have been working with the lotto for the last 3 years and there is a way to forecast with a 20% to 25% accuracy what the numbers will do.
Some people might think that is not possible, but I know for sure that there is a way for an educated guess of what numbers are supposed to appear.
So far I have been hitting:
80% of the time 2 out of 3 on Pick 3.
40% of the time 2 out of 4 on Pick 4.
20% of the time 3 out of 5 on Pick 5.
I have not hit the big pay-off “Yet” but it’s very promising for somebody that 3 years ago would not spend a penny on the lotto.
Good luck to everybody ( LUCK. )
Hi K.C. – those figures do look a little guessed – 80%, 40%, 20%.
The important thing here if you’re evaluating what you’re doing, is to know what you’re comparing with. What results would you expect from random luck. And how does that compare with what you’re getting. Otherwise you can get hit by the the infrequency illusion
It’s hard to comment further on the figures you’re quoting as there isn’t enough data here. I mean, it’s easy to 3 out of 5 every single time on Pick 5 – if you play a large enough wheeling system.
Try using Excel function LINEST(chronological list of the lowest numbers drawn), combined with SLOPE and Y-INTERCEPTION.
This way I predict 4-5 out of 6 numbers to be drawn. I also include adjacent numbers (i.e. if predicted number is 11, I include 10 and 12 also).
When done above for all 6 numbers, I get about 15-20 numbers to be wheeled.
I usually hit 4-6.
Hey Al. I wasn’t clear on how many lines you’re actually playing, or what your win rate is.
It’s not wrong to be predicting lottery numbers from past draws with Excel. And hitting 4-6 sounds great.
But presumably you mean 4-6 of your pool of ’15-20′ numbers that you’re wheeling, right?
Which doesn’t necessarily mean you’re winning anything. Or that those numbers are doing any better than random luck (depending on the size of the wheel/how many combinations you’re playing).
1. Forgetting all Excel maths a moment – if you compare the actual number of combinations you are playing against the odds for the game you’re playing – how do you compare to ‘average luck’?
2. If you’re predicting a number 11, what’s the thinking behind picking 10 and 12 too (the balls don’t ‘know’ they are adjacent numbers)?
Can you email me a copy of that spreadsheet that you use?
Thanks in advance.
I’m an excel guy myself and very interested in testing your system in the current lottery that I’m trying to crack, could you send me the spreadsheet that you have mentioned here, using LINEST combined with SLOPE and Y-INTERCEPT.
I was trying to find out the way how to use the LINEST function. Could you provide me with further details, please?
Please can I get a copy of using LINEST combined with SLOPE and Y-INTERCEPT.
Please can you explain in full details how you do it? You seem to be the only person making sense and promising. I have tried almost all mathematical formula and sequences I know of but I still couldn’t get it. Please, I’d be so glad and grateful if you can help me, I’m looking forward to hearing from you.
“I usually hit 4-6” has a lot more to do with the size of the wheel, than what you do with Excel 🙂
Hi there does this really work?
The past is just that – the past as far as exact repeats go. Yet, depending upon the type of pattern that you chase and record the past sets can yield information as to how a certain pattern was accomplished but not necessarily the exact data. Unless that you use an assorted amount of pattern predictability in your tool kit, you won’t understand what it is that I am saying.
Hi Teufel. So you’re saying you can use tools to predict patterns in the results, but not any actual results.
Sounds to me like you’re just predicting ‘patterns’ that randomness dictates will be there (like people who chase sums and deltas and such like). So apart from being of passing interest to us geeks who like numbers, it doesn’t actually give any benefit in terms of chances of winning?
This is a great blog and I agree 100%. We cannot say often enough that it is impossible to predict future lottery numbers based on past results. In fact there is no way of predicting lottery numbers, period.
However it still matters what lottery numbers you pick because some numbers lead to bigger prizes if you do win.
A rundown for the pick 3 game of …1… thru ..0.. which equals 30 digits by adding a fourth row or a total of 40 digits gives a pattern of predictability when I create a 5 x 6 rundown of the same numbers or a 6 x 5 of the same sets. The answer to each days win shows in these constructs. I know which day (s) to use and how to use them. They all came from a piece of past history and not in the order that the clues or patterns were derived. I do not “chase patterns” per se but the resulting end use of the created pattern shows me where the win will fall. Many people have brushed me off but I work with simplistic ideas and because they are so simple players tend to try and make rocket science of common abstract thinking. Those folks that have asked me usually blow the whole pattern instead of using the instructions that I give which are six items. I let the players choose their own numbers from the very short list that I give to work from. The pattern that I use sets the rundown and the rundown is converted to a …5 x 6… or a …6 x 5… setup. Once done this setup is good for seven days and all of this came from past history and logical thinking.
But surely Teufel whatever method you use to pick a subset of numbers – you’re going to find some of the winning numbers appear in that subset. That’s random numbers for you.
But bottom line… beneath the complexity of what you’re doing, does it actually make any difference to your win rate versus choosing numbers randomly?
The answer to that has to be ‘no’.
This is all good and well this win rate, blah blah blah but I bet none of you have scooped a jackpot. Keep working on it though, lol.
Not sure who you were commenting to. But jackpots obviously have tough odds (surprise, it’s a lottery!) but as I’m pointing out here – adding enormous complexity to selecting numbers does nothing to actually help you win. And that’s just the same if you’re doing it for your own ego, entertainment, or if you’re paying money to some charlatan to buy that ‘system’.
If you look closely there is a Delta Function. And that 90% of the numbers are 1 to 15.
Hi Sparx. It’s a bit confusing because there is an Excel function called DELTA, which actually just tells you if two numbers are equal or not.
But ‘deltas’ more generally refers to the difference between two numbers, i.e. the delta of ball 8 and ball 15 is 7 etc.
And this is the problem with spreadsheets… people often apply all sorts of numeric manipulation on lottery numbers, because, hey, they’re numbers right!
When they’re not really. They’re just balls bouncing around.
So it doesn’t really make any sense to start applying deltas to results analysis. The deltas/differences will tend to fall within a certain range, but only because there are a limited range of numbers in the game. It doesn’t mean anything useful 🙂
Hi, I have been playing using Excel with Lotto 649 and Super 7 in Canada for many years. I have the data from day one of each lottery. I must admit I have never won a significant lottery so far. However I am having fun and that is really the point of playing a lottery. I study time between numbers winning, the most frequent numbers winning and losing, how many numbers drawn in the current draw that were in the past 6 draws, charts and so on. Good luck to everyone and don’t forget if you are not having fun then it is not worth it!I've been analyzing all my past lottery results over the years. I know these things are supposed to be random, but there is a pattern. Comments Page 1.
Analyze Lottery Numbers in Excel
Excel has a number of great tools for playing the lottery. You can use Excel to generate random numbers, to analyze past numbers to see if any numbers are “hot”. You can also use Excel’s functions to determine the odds of winning.
The tips in today’s show require the Analysis Toolpack to be installed. From the menu, select Tools – Addins, and then check the box for Analysis Toolpack.
Excel has some great tools for analyzing lottery numbers. If you believe that certain numbers can be “hot”, then Excel has two tools that will let you see which numbers are coming up more often than others.
I downloaded data from the Ontario lottery site showing winning numbers for the past 3 months.
Using cut and paste, copy the numbers into a single column of data. Add a heading in cell A1.
Select one cell in the data. From the menu, select Data – PivotTable. Click Next in Step 1 and Step 2. In step 3, choose the Layout button in the lower left corner. Drag the Number button from the right side of the Layout dialog and drop it in the Row area.
Drag the Number button to the Data area and it will appear as “Sum of Number”. Instead of summing, you want to find a count of how many times each number has appeared. In the Layout dialog, double-click the Sum of Number button to display the PIvotTable Field dialog. In that dialog, choose to Summarize by Count.
Click OK to close the Field dialog.
You would like to have the report presented with the most popular numbers at the top. Double click the Number field in the Row area of the Layout dialog. This will present a different version of the PivotTable Field dialog. Choose the Advanced button.
In the Advanced Options dialog, choose to sort Descending by Count of Number.
Click OK three times to return to the Pivot Table Wizard step 3. Click Finish. The resulting pivot table shows that the numbers 43 and 34 have come up far more than the average number. If you believe that numbers can be hot, you might want to play 43, 34, 10, 8, 41, and 37.
Excel offers many ways to achieve any result. On the show, I also showed how to use Tools – Data Analysis – Histogram.
In column C, set up a Bin range. This is simply the numbers from 1 to 49.
From the menu, select Tools – Data Analysis – Histogram. Fill out the dialog as shown here.
In the results, the first two columns show how often each number has been selected. Columns G & H offer a sorted version with the most popular numbers at the top. The histogram suggests that you might want to play 43, 34, 10, 8, 2, and 12.
Scientists will argue that the lottery balls have no memory. If the machine is truly random, the fact that a number has come up recently does not mean that it will come up again. If you believe this, then you should select truly random numbers. Excel has a =RAND() function to help with this. If you enter =RAND() in a number of cells, you will have a variety of numbers in the range of 0 to 0.9999999.
If you use =RAND()*49 , Excel will return numbers from 0 to 48.999999.
If you use =INT(RAND()*49)+1 , Excel will return numbers from 1 to 49.
With the Analysis Toolpack installed, you can use the simpler =RANDBETWEEN(1,49) to obtain integers between 1 and 49.
Finally, is it even a good deal to play the lottery? Use the =COMBIN() function to find out. The Ontario lottery requires you to select 6 numbers out of a pool of 49 numbers. The formula in C7 is =COMBIN(49,6) and shows that there are 13,983,816 possible results. Thus, if the lotto jackpot is greater than 14 million as a cash option, then your payout would exceed the odds.Excel has a number of great tools for playing the lottery. You can use Excel to generate random numbers, to analyze past numbers to see if any numbers are "hot". You can also use Excel's functions to determine the odds of winning. ]]>